Modelling a Future Water Budget in Jordan: Evaluation of the Major Stressors Affecting Water Availability
IAE Seminar Series
- Faculty of Education, Maths, Technology and Science
- Environmental Science
- Institute for Applied Ecology
- Public lectures/seminars
Water availability is affected by a variety of stressors in Jordan which are the ballooning population, climate change, and groundwater over-abstraction practices. These stressors may aggravate the water crisis beyond its current situation. This research has constructed a structural model that evaluating the consequences of each driving stressor, over different scenarios, in the future water budget of the Amman-Zarqa River Basin.
Rainfall-runoff models; GR4J and AWBM are used to simulate the surface runoff. Coupling of CMIP5 ensemble model’s; CMIP5, CCSM4, CSIRO-Mk3, GFDL-ESM, and MIROC-ESM outputs to hydrological models were used to evaluate the effect of climate change on Zarqa River flow. In addition, spatial and temporal analyses in groundwater depths due to over-abstraction practices have been assessed in Amman-Zarqa Groundwater Basin over the last four decades. The water account per each stressor has been quantified and conceptualized one water budget. The results show inadequate water security is aligned with continuing decline of available water resources. This research is supervised by Bill Maher and Ross Thompson. About Fayha Fayha has completed Bachelor degree in Agricultural Resources and Environment (Irrigation), and a Masters degree in Environmental Studies, both from the University of Jordan. Fayha has worked in water research at Ministry of Water and Irrigation and Ministry of Agriculture of Jordan. Currently she is affiliated with the School of Agriculture at the University of Jordan/Department of Land, Water and Environment and upon her PhD completion with IAE, she will return there and teach.